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You Don't Know What Your House Is Worth. That Number Could Change Everything About Your Next Move. | Let's Talk Home Mortgage

You Don't Know What Your House Is Worth. That Number Could Change Everything About Your Next Move.

If you do not know what your home is worth right now, you may be making your next move with the most important number missing from the conversation.

Know your
equity

Your equity can change the math on your next move.

When is the last time someone told you what your house is actually worth? Not a Zillow guess. Not what your neighbor down the street got last spring. What your home is worth, right now, from someone who actually looked at it.

If you cannot answer that with a real number, I want you to keep reading before you make any decision about moving, staying, or renovating.

The key takeaway

There is a good chance you are sitting on more home equity than you think, and that number can change what is actually possible for your next move.

First, Why the Number You Are Guessing Is Probably Wrong.

Most people price their own equity the same way: an online estimate, a neighbor's sale price, or a number they calculated years ago and never updated.

None of that is your equity. Home values have moved enough over the last several years that a number from even two years ago is already stale.

Equity is not what you paid. It is not what you think your house would sell for. It is what a professional, looking at your specific house today, says it is actually worth, minus what you still owe. If you are thinking about selling, this is also why current comparable sales and real buyer behavior matter more than an old estimate.

Until someone runs that number for you, you are guessing. And most people are guessing low.

Here Is What the Data Is Showing Right Now.

The typical homeowner with a mortgage is now sitting on $310,500 in equity, according to Cotality's latest numbers.

Read that again. Six figures. Sitting in a house, doing nothing, for a homeowner who has probably never had someone put an actual number on it.

Map showing average homeowner equity by state, with a national average of $310,500
Average homeowner equity varies significantly by state. The national average shown is $310,500. Source: Cotality; graphic by Keeping Current Matters.

And people are already using that number at scale. The National Association of Realtors reports that more than one out of every four repeat buyers, 26%, paid all cash for their next home in July. Not because they are wealthy in the way you might picture. Because they had equity, and they used it.

What the Headlines Always Leave Out.

Here is the part that never makes the headline: knowing your number and using your number are two different steps, and almost everyone stops after the first one, if they even get that far.

Equity sitting in your house can do three things for you. It can lower the payment on your next home through a bigger down payment. It can let you skip the mortgage altogether if the numbers work. Or it can fund the renovation that turns the house you already have into the house you actually want, instead of moving at all.

If staying put is the better choice, there are several ways homeowners sometimes access equity. A home equity loan is one option worth understanding, but any new debt should be evaluated against the payment, reserves, and long-term plan.

None of those choices happen automatically. They happen because someone got a real number, and then made a decision with it.

What This Means For Your Plan.

If you are moving:

Your equity is not a bonus. It is the down payment strategy on your next house. Under Rule 6 in our system, 10% down is good, 20% is better because it eliminates PMI outright. A six-figure equity number can be the difference between scraping together the minimum and walking in with 20% down, or walking in with no mortgage at all.

Before you assume you cannot afford to move up, find out what you are actually sitting on. The math changes completely once you have a real number instead of a guess. Then compare that number with your local buyer-versus-seller leverage and the payment you would actually carry on the next home.

If you are staying put:

That same equity can fund the renovation instead of the move. But do not treat it as free money the way people treat a windfall. Under Rule 11 in our system, a full emergency fund still comes first, six months at minimum, twelve if your income has any unpredictability to it.

Pulling equity for a kitchen or a bathroom should never mean draining the cash reserve that protects your household if something goes wrong. Fund the project. Protect the reserve. Do both, in that order. If you are thinking about how renovations could affect future resale, the right kind of flexible space and layout can matter to buyers.

Know your number before you make the move

Start with your home's value. Then build the plan around it.

Once you have a realistic equity estimate, we can connect it with your mortgage balance, debts, DTI, down payment, reserves, and the payment you want to live with after closing.

Talk With Pat

The Question You Should Be Asking Together Right Now.

Not, what do you think our house is worth.

The real question is: what does someone who actually looks at our house, today, say it is worth, and what could we do with that number that we assumed we could not do?

I have spent 34 years on both sides of this exact conversation, as a homeowner with my wife and as the person other couples call to get the real number. The couples who end up ahead are never the ones who guess right. They are the ones who stop guessing, get the actual number, and sit down together to decide what to do with it.

Call a local agent and ask for a free Home Equity Assessment. It costs you nothing and takes one conversation. Then have the talk with your spouse about what that number changes for your next move.

Pat Collins
Financial Coach | Mortgage Professional | Realtor
34 Years of Marriage and Real Estate — I have been on both sides of every table.

Educational disclosure: This article is for general educational purposes and is not individualized mortgage, financial, legal, tax, insurance, credit, investment, appraisal, construction, or real estate advice. Home values and equity estimates vary by property, location, condition, market conditions, liens, selling costs, appraisal methods, and timing. A comparative market analysis or Home Equity Assessment is an estimate and is not a guarantee of sale price or an appraisal. Mortgage-insurance requirements, down-payment options, home-equity financing, qualification standards, renovation costs, and cash-purchase strategies vary by loan program and individual circumstances. Consult qualified mortgage, real estate, appraisal, legal, tax, insurance, construction, and financial professionals regarding your situation.

Reference sources: Keeping Current Matters — “One Number Could Change Everything About Your Next Move”, August 20, 2026; Cotality — U.S. Homeowner Equity Insights; and National Association of Realtors — July 2026 existing-home market coverage.

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Young child smiling while holding parents’ hands during winter—symbolizing the joy and opportunity families can find when selling a home in the winter housing market.

When most people think about selling their home, they automatically picture spring the yard is green, the flowers are out, and everyone seems to be in house-hunting mode.

But here’s the truth: spring isn’t always the smartest time to sell.
In fact, selling your house this winter may actually give you a major advantage especially if you’re trying to stand out and make a confident financial move.

Let’s break down why winter might be the opportunity most homeowners overlook.

Winter Is When Your House Finally Stands Out

Every year almost without fail the number of homes for sale drops as winter approaches. Realtor.com’s data shows the same pattern year after year: inventory dips in the winter, then rises again as spring arrives.

And based on the latest numbers rolling in for 2025, we’re seeing that same trend start again.

Listings are beginning to decrease as we close out the year and if history repeats itself (which it usually does), inventory will drop even further through winter.

Here’s why this matters for you:

Line graph showing how housing inventory consistently dips in the winter months, based on data from Realtor.com.

Even with more listings than last year, we still aren’t anywhere near a “normal” market.

Compared to 2017–2019 levels, today’s housing supply is still too low.
So when winter inventory dips again, your home has less competition and more visibility.

Think of it like this:

Less competition = More attention on your home.

If you list now before everyone else rushes back into the market in spring you get ahead of the crowd.

Winter Buyers Are More Motivated Buyers

Another big advantage to selling your house this winter?

The buyers who are shopping right now are serious.

They’re not browsing because it’s fun.
They’re looking because they need to move for a job relocation, a lease ending, a life change, or a growing family.

U.S. News puts it this way:

“Buyers who brave the cold usually have a good reason they need to move and can make quick decisions.”

And with fewer homes available in winter, they have fewer options to choose from. If you price and prep your house well, there’s a good chance your home becomes the one that checks their boxes.

Motivated buyers + low inventory = stronger offers and quicker decisions.

Why Not Wait Until Spring? Why This Matters for Buyers Trying To Stretch Their Budget

Most homeowners wait to list until spring because it “feels” like the right time.
But that’s exactly why waiting could hurt you.

Spring brings more buyers – yes.
But it also brings a flood of new listings.

Suddenly, you’re competing with every homeowner who waited all winter.

Winter gives you the opposite experience:

  • Less noise
  • Less competition
  • More motivated buyers
  • A cleaner shot at standing out

Bottom Line: Winter Gives Sellers a Quiet Advantage

If you’re thinking about selling, winter may be your best opportunity to:

  • Stand out in a less crowded market

  • Attract serious, motivated buyers

  • Avoid spring competition

  • Sell with more confidence and clarity

You don’t have to wait for the “busy” season to make a smart move.
Sometimes the quiet seasons work in your favor.

If you want to understand what listing your home this winter could look like or whether it fits your financial goals connect with a trusted real estate agent in your area.

A good agent can help you make sense of the numbers and take your next step with confidence.